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Is Penn State football being underrated? ON3 claims the Lions’ win projection is too low

A new article suggests that the 2023 Penn State football win total is set too low.

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Penn State football DL, Recruiting, Deion Barnes
Sep 7, 2019; University Park, PA, USA; Penn State Nittany Lions head coach James Franklin stands in front of his players prior to taking the field against the Buffalo Bulls at Beaver Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Matthew O'Haren-USA TODAY Sports

The Penn State football program finds itself enveloped in a whirlwind of offseason hype, capturing the attention of fans and analysts alike. Yet, despite the mounting excitement, the Nittany Lions’ win total for the upcoming season is surprisingly set at a seemingly modest 9.5.

However, a recent article from ON3 suggests that this win projection fails to do justice to the true potential of the Nittany Lions. In fact, the article argues that Penn State possesses the talent and capability to mount a formidable challenge for the Big Ten title and even secure a coveted spot in the College Football Playoff this fall.

2023 Penn State football win total set at 9.5

Amidst the buzz surrounding Penn State football, the projected win total for the Nittany Lions appears to be relatively conservative. According to Draft Kings, the over/under for the 2023 Penn State football win total is set at 9.5 wins for the upcoming season. This presents an interesting opportunity to consider betting on the over.

Penn State seems to have a well-rounded team, with a solid offense, a reliable defense, and an experienced coaching staff. While it’s important to remember that games are not won on paper, the team’s schedule doesn’t appear overly daunting as seen in years past.

Additionally, having the chance to face the reigning Big Ten Champions, Michigan, at home provides a favorable circumstance for the Lions.

While there will be challenges on the road, such as matchups against Ohio State, Illinois, and Michigan State, Penn State should be prepared to handle them. Notably, they will open the season against West Virginia, host Iowa in Week 4, and face Michigan in mid-November, all of which are formidable opponents.

As of now, experts identify only two potential losses: against Michigan and Ohio State. However, as we’ve witnessed in the past, surprises can always happen in college football.

9.5 wins is too low for the Nittany Lions, ON3 says

According to a new piece via ON3, the Penn State football win total is set too low heading into the 2023 season. Here is their take on the Nittany Lions’ high expectations:

“Yes, the Nittany Lions are one of the offseason’s hype teams in 2023, but with good reason, they returned a stacked group of young studs looking at a bright two-year window. We don’t know for certain what to expect from former 5-star quarterback Drew Allar, but this is not a schedule that should produce three losses. Outside of a late October trip to Ohio State, Penn State plays all its toughest games in Happy Valley (Iowa and Michigan come to Beaver Stadium). Its non-conference schedule replaces a road game at Auburn with a home opener at night against a sub-par West Virginia team.”



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Chris, a Penn State University student, founded Basic Blues Nation in 2022. He remains a co-owner of the website today. Throughout a six-year writing career, Chris has been a beat writer, a staff writer, an Editor-In Chief, and more, serving as a member of the credentialed media for a number of Big Ten schools. He has covered everything from non-revenue sports to CFP National Championship matchups, as well as some professional and high school sports.

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