Penn State football has made it to the most anticipated week of the season with a trip to Columbus to take on Ohio State at Noon on Fox. For betting odds, the Nittany Lions will enter as an underdog for the first time this season, but can they cover the spread? This matchup will be the first of 3 massive games in the Big Ten East that will have Conference Championship and College Football Playoff implications. As always we will give the Big Ten Bet of the week.
Alonzo Ford DT – Out for the Season
Smith Vilbert DE – Out for the Season
Landon Tengwall OL – Medical Retirement
Tyler Johnson WR – Out Indefinitely
Khalil Dinkins TE – Questionable
Carmelo Taylor WR – Questionable
Mason Robinson DE – Questionable
JB Nelson OL – Questionable
Cameron Martinez S – Questionable
Emeka Egbuka WR – Questionable
TreVeyon Henderson RB – Questionable
Chip Trayanum RB – Questionable
Joe Royer TE – Questionable
Miyan Williams RB – Questionable
Kyion Grayes WR – Questionable
Nolan Baudo WR – Questionable
T.C. Caffey Jr. RB – Out Indefinitely
Jaden McKenzie DT – Questionable
Arvell Reese LB – Questionable
DeaMonte Trayanum RB – Questionable
Kourt Williams S – Questionable
Zak Herbstreit TE – Questionable
Reis Stocksdale WR – Questionable
Jyaire Brown CB – Questionable
Will Smith Jr. DL – Questionable
Penn State (+4.5) vs. Ohio State
James Franklin’s Nittany Lions enter Saturday’s matchup as a 4-point underdog. It is the first game as an underdog for Penn State football this season. For betting odds the line opened this summer with the Buckeyes as a 9.5-point favorite and was 6.5 points heading into last week’s games. Penn State is 6-0 ATS this season and 10-0 in the last 10 games. Ohio State is 3-3 ATS this season and 5-5 in the last 10 games. Penn State is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Ohio State.
Penn State Football Moneyline: +154
Placing a $100 bet on Penn State to knock off Ohio State would pay $154. Ohio State leads the all-time series 23-14. Ohio State is currently on a 6-game winning streak dating back to 2017. The Buckeyes have won 10 of the last 11 meetings and haven’t lost in Columbus to the Nittany Lions since 2011.
Penn State Football vs. Ohio State Over/Under 47
The total has gone over in 4 of 6 games for Penn State to start the season. The total has gone under for 5 of Ohio State’s 6 games this season. The total has gone over in 7 of Penn State’s last 8 games on the road.
Penn State vs Ohio State Game Predictions: (7-2)
This series has been lopsided the last two decades with Penn State going just 4-16 in that stretch. The last win came in 2016 when an unranked Penn State knocked off No. 2 Ohio State on the famous blocked field goal returned for a touchdown. The last time the Nittany Lions won in Columbus was in 2011, but that was against a 6-6 Buckeye team that had just fired their coach. You have to go all the way back to 2008 when a No. 3 Penn State went on the road to take down No. 9 Ohio State 13-6.
The Buckeyes have been what has kept James Franklin from reaching that next level. While I think Penn State has the talent and momentum to beat Ohio State, it is so difficult to get out of Columbus with a win. I think this year will be closer to the 2008 matchup which was a low-scoring slugfest. When looking at the spread I think you must take Penn State simply because of the cover streak and how they have played Ohio State in the past. These are two of the best defenses in college football this season so you should take the under as this total could very well stay in the 30s.
Prediction: Penn State 14 Ohio State 17
Big Ten bet of the Week: (1-5)
Minnesota vs Iowa (Under 32.5)
3:30 pm NBC
I told you last week to fade me because the Big Ten bet of the week has gone down in flames this year. Losing 4 straight weeks is not ideal so we return with a pick just so ridiculous it may just work. The 32.5 total in this game is an insanely low number. However, any game that Iowa is in deserves that, and combine that with a struggling Minnesota game and I think this one could end up with a similar final to the 15-6 one we saw between the Hawkeyes and Badgers last week. As long as Brian Ferentz is at Iowa, we take the under for great betting odds.
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